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Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 27th Sept 2025

Tuesday, September 23, 2025

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)

1.50 – Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV

23/23 – Had won one or two races before
22/23 – Had won over 7f or further before
22/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
21/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/23 - Either US or Irish bred
17/23 – Had only won over 7f before
15/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
13/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total)
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Jockey James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9
15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners stall 3
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

Surewin Best Bet: BOW ECHO 
Surewin Danger: HUMIDITY

2.25 – Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
21/23 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
19/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
18/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs
18/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (1 won it)
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Won last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/23 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
10/23 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/23 – Winners drawn in stall 6
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by Brian Meehan
1/23 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Irish have won 7 of the last 9
8 of the last 10 came between stalls 3-9
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 5

Surewin Best Bet: ROYAL FIXATION
Surewin Danger: FITZELLA

3.00 - Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22 – Won over 6f previously
20/22 – Won their last race
20/22 – Won at least twice previously
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Had run 3 or more times previously
18/22 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/22 – Ran at Deauville last time out
8/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8) (7 in total)
2/22 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 - Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
7 of the last 9 winners drawn between 1-4
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017, 2018 & 2019

Surewin Best Bet: COPPULL
Surewin Danger: WISE APPROACH

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

Surewin Best Bet: FORT GEORGE 
Surewin Danger: BOILING POINT


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Ambassador Cruise Line Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won over 5f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (10 of the last 11)
14/18 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/18 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
11/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Rated between 92-96
9/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
4 of the last 5 winners between stalls 4-6

Surewin Best Bet: WOOLHAMPTON 
Surewin Danger: DURAN

2:40 – Hallgarten And Novum Wines Handicap (Cl3) (3yo+ 0-90) 6f

8/9 – Won over 6f before
7/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/9 – Aged 3 or 4
7/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Carried 9-0 to 9-6 in weight
6/9 – Favourites placed second
6/9 – Rated 82-86
4/9 – Ran at Haydock before
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners from stall 3 (including last 2)
Woven won the race in 2024

Surewin Best Bet: WOVEN
Surewin Danger: VANTHEMAN

3:15 - Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 1-105) 1m ITV

17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
12/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
12/18 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Irish bred winners
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 1

 

Surewin Best Bet: FIRST AMBITION 
Surewin Danger: MIDNIGHT GUN

 

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