Loads to look forward to this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season (on a Saturday) at Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card or which five races at LIVE on ITV4. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too, while the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Kameko Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!

As always here at SUREWIN we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus once the entries are out our free tips...…...let's get cracking!

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
15/16 – Foaled in February or later
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Favourites placed in the top 3
12/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Carried 9-1 in weight
11/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – March-born foals
6/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The last 4 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (2)
7 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: BOUNTY
SUREWIN DANGER: ARCTIC VOYAGE 

2.05 – Join Century Racing Club Today Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

20/20 – Ran 5 or more times that season
19/20 – Had won over 5f before
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
11/20 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/20 - Carried 8-9 or less
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat

SUREWIN BEST BET: ABERAMA GOLD
SUREWIN DANGER: COVER UP 

2.40 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV

19/22 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/22 – Placed favourites
18/22 - Foaled in February or later
18/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/22 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/22 – Winning favourites
14/22 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
14/22 – Won their last race
13/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 7)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
The average SP in the last 22 runnings is 11/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022)

SUREWIN BEST BET: WIMBLEDON HAWKEYE
SUREWIN DANGER: DELACROIX 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Foaled in Feb or later
16/19 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
15/19 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Newbury
12/19 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Favourites unplaced
10/19 – Won over 7f before
10/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Foaled in February
7/19 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/19 – Winning favourites

SUREWIN BEST BET: BENEVENTO
SUREWIN DANGER: MAKE YOU SMILE 

3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Had won at least twice before
17/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had at least 4 runs that season
14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/20 – Rated 106 or higher
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had run at Newbury before (6 won)
12/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
11/20 – Placed horses from stall 6
8/20 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/20 – Won by a filly or mare
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 11)
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Max Vega won the race in 2022
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat

SUREWIN BEST BET: DANIELLE
SUREWIN DANGER: AL AASY

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – William Hill Top Price Guarantee Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
3/3 – Carried 10-13 or more
3/3 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Aged between 5-7
No winning favourite
Trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is just 3-41 riding over fences at Cheltenham

SUREWIN BEST BET: GUARD YOUR DREAMS
SUREWIN DANGER: ANDY'S FLAME 

1.45 – William Hill Betting Done Properly Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV

9/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Favourites finished in the top 2
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/9 – French or Irish bred
6/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won at Warwick last time out
2/9 – Won at Perth last time out
2/9 – Trained by John C McConnell
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 2/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: INTENSE APPROACH
SUREWIN DANGER: FINE MARGIN 

2.20 –William Hill Committed To Top Priced Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV4

15/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won over at least 3m previously
13/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/17 – First run of the season
12/17 – Irish bred winners
11/17 – Favourites unplaced
10/17 – Rated 134 or higher
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/17 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
8/17 – Unplaced in their last race
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/17 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 10)
2 of the last 3 winners Irish trained
Whacker Clan (12/1) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: BROADWAY BOY
SUREWIN DANGER: DOES HE KNOW 

2.55 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

11/15 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
7/15 – Irish Bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 7)
2/15 – Mare winners
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claimer
7 of the last 10 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinvile-ridden)

SUREWIN BEST BET: ZAIN NIGHTS
SUREWIN DANGER: BOTOX HAS

3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

11/15 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
11/15 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
9/15 – Placed in their last race
9/15 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Irish bred winners
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
4/15 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 10)
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 5 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 10 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: BOTTLER'SECRET
SUREWIN DANGER: GIVEMEFIVE