It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, here at SUREWIN, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (29th July 2023) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/20 – Had won just once before
16/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/20 – Won over 6f before
13/20 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/20 – Winning favourite
10/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 9)
2/20 – Won by the Hannon yard
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
10 of the last 17 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 17 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 11 winners came from stall 1
Lezoo (6/5 fav) won the race in 2022

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

11/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/11 – Won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Had run at Ascot before
2/11 – Winning favourites
Jumbly (10/3) won the race in 2022

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

20/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Had raced at Ascot previously
18/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
15/20 – Won over 7f previously
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times previously
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
13/20 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
12/20 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
8/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Won their last race
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 13 years
14 of the last 16 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 16 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Fresh (8/1) won the race in 2022
Danyah (9/2 fav) won the race in 2021
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

21/21 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
19/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/21 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
18/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Previous Group 1 winner
13/21 – Had run Ascot before
12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
12/21 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Favourites that won
9/21 – Won at Ascot before
8/21 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/21 – Trained by John Gosden
4/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 9 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 4/1

York Horse Racing Trends

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
4/5 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
3/5 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
2/5 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
1/5 - Winning favourite
Birkenhead (25/1) won the race in 2022
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race in 2021

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

19/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
16/19 – Had won between 2-6 times before
16/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/19 – Had run at York before
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/19 – Won last time out
Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
12 of the last 17 winners carried 9-0 or more
Gala Force Maya (9/2) won the race in 2022
Venturous (33/1) won the race in 2021
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Rated between 110 and 117
11/17 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
10/17 – Had run at York before
8/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Aged 6 years-old
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor