It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

Did you know? 18 of the last 24 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 15 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Ladbrokes ‘Free Bet At Ayr’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m RTV

13/13 - Won at least twice before
13/13 - Rated between 88 and 96
12/13 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Won previously over 1m
11/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/13 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
8/13 - Placed favourites
8/13 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/13 - Irish bred
7/13 - Had run at Ayr before
4/13 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Spencer
Revich won the race in 2021 & 2023 and 3rd in 2022

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

1.50 – Ladbrokes ‘Big Football Bet Builder Boosts’ Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
13/14 – Yet to race at Ayr
13/14 – Won over 1m2f or more
13/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
12/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
11/14 – Won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Irish bred
9/14 – Aged 4 or older
9/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 12)
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/14 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 10)
Owner Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners drawn between 3-7

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

2.25 – Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Carried 8-11 or more
20/22 – Previous winners over 6f
19/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
17/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/22 – Had raced at Ayr before (6 won)
14/22 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/22 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
9/22 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
5/22 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Winning Favourites (last 2 favs have won)
3/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Wobwobwob won the race in 2023
Tim Easterby has won 2 of the last 6
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 11 or lower

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

3.00 – Ladbrokes ‘Get Rewarded With Ladbucks’ Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

20/22 – Had never raced at Ayr before
19/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
18/22 – Previous winners over 6f
18/22 – Had won one or two times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
15/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
15/22 – Winning distance 1 length or further
15/22 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 76
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

3.35 – Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

24/24 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
21/24 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
21/24 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
19/24 – Had won over 6f before
18/24 – Failed to win their last race
17/24 – Carried 9-1 or more
17/24 – Came from a double-figure stall
15/24 – Rated 90-101
15/24 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/24 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/24 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/24 – Had 7 or more runs that season
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
12/24 – Ran at Doncaster (4), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
13/24 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/24 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/24 – Winning favourites (or joint) (only 5 winning favs since 1980)
2/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 19)
2/24 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 12)
2/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 11)
0/24 – Filly or mare winners
The last 8 winners were drawn 12+
Trainer Karl Burke has won the race three times (1994, 1998 & 2024)
17 of the last 20 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
15 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 20 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
Since 1980 just 2 winners aged 7 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31

Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV

22/23 – Raced four or more times that season
20/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
19/23 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
18/23 – Won a Listed or Group race before
18/23 – Won over 5f previously
18/23 - Aged 5 or younger
17/23 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/23 – Won 4 or more times
13/23 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/23 – Previous Group race winners
7/23 – Won their last race
7/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 4 of last 12 winners)
6/23 – Favourites
6/23 – Mare winners
5 of the last 7 winners drawn 5 or lower
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 5 1/2f ITV

2 previous runnings
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2023 and 2024
Trainer William Haggas has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Owen Burrows has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2 from 56 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

2.40 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Won over 1m2f or further before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (9 of the last 10)
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn 8 or lower
10/15 – Won 3 or 4 times
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Rated between 92 and 97 (inc)
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Had run at Newbury before
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow

3.15 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/23 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
18/23 – Won over 6f previously
17/23 – Won from draw 5 or lower
16/23 – Raced 3 or more times
16/23 – Favourites placed
14/23 – Foaled in March or later
14/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/23 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/23 – Won exactly two races before
8/23 – Won by an April foal
8/23 – Won their previous race
5/23 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/23 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/23 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 9)
2/23– Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/23 – Trained by Karl Burke
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/23 – Filly winners
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 2 (3) or 8 (2)

Surewin Best Bet: To Follow
Surewin Danger: To Follow