It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

Did you know? 18 of the last 23 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 14 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Livescore Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

12/12 - Won at least twice before
12/12 - Rated between 88 and 96
11/12 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 - Won previously over 1m
10/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/12 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
8/12 - Placed favourites
7/12 - Irish bred
7/12 - Had run at Ayr before
4/12 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/12 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/12 - Winning favourites
Revich won the race in 2021 & 2023 and 3rd in 2022

Surewin Best Bet: Obelix
Surewin Danger: Aragon Castle

1.50 – Livescore Bet Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Yet to race at Ayr
12/13 – Won over 1m2f or more
12/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
11/13 – Rated between 101 and 111
10/13 – Won 3 or more times before
10/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – Aged 4 or older
8/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 11)
3/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/13 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 9)
Owner Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Maktoum has won the last 2 runnings

Surewin Best Bet: ENFIJAAR
Surewin Danger: CAVAIR HEIGHTS

2.25 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

21/21 – Carried 8-11 or more
19/21 – Previous winners over 6f
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Carried 9-0 or more
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
16/21 – Had 5 or more runs that season
14/21 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
13/21 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
13/21 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
5/21 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning Favourites
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/21 – Filly or mare winners
Wobwobwob won the race in 2023
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 11 or lower

Surewin Best Bet: RHYTHM N HOOVES
Surewin Danger: EMPEROR'S SON

3.00 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

19/21 – Had never raced at Ayr before
18/21 – Finished 4th or better last time out
17/21 – Previous winners over 6f
17/21 – Had won one or two times before
15/21 – Winning distance 1 length or further
15/21 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/21 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/21 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/21 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last four runnings

Surewin Best Bet: STORMY IMPACT
Surewin Danger: GUNS FIRING

3.35 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

23/23 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
20/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
20/23 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
18/23 – Had won over 6f before
18/23 – Failed to win their last race
16/23 – Carried 9-1 or more
16/23 – Came from a double-figure stall
15/23 – Rated 90-101
14/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/23 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/23 – Had 7 or more runs that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Ran at Doncaster (4), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
12/23 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/23 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/23 – Winning favourites (or joint) (5 winning favs since 1980)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 18)
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 10)
0/23 – Filly or mare winners
Trainer Karl Burke has won the race twice (1994 & 1998)
14 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 19 winners came from stall 8)
16 of the last 19 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
Since 1980 just 2 winners aged 7 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31

Surewin Best Bet: ROHAAN
Surewin Danger: ROOM SERVICE

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV

21/22 – Raced four or more times that season
20/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/22 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
17/22 – Won a Listed or Group race before
17/22 – Won over 5f previously
17/22 - Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/22 – Won 4 or more times
13/22 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/22 – Previous Group race winners
7/22 – Won their last race
7/22 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 4 of last 11 winners)
6/22 – Favourites
5/22 – Mare winners
5 of the last 6 winners drawn 5 or lower
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners

Surewin Best Bet: RELIEF RALLY
Surewin Danger: NO HALF MEASURES

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 5 1/2f ITV

1 previous runnings
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2023
Trainer William Haggas has a 31% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a 20% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 65 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is just 2 from 47 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Surewin Best Bet: CHILLINGHAM
Surewin Danger: NOT SO SLEEPY

2.40 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won over 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
11/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/14 – Won 3 or 4 times
10/14 – Drawn 8 or lower
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Rated between 92 and 97 (inc)
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/14 – Had run at Newbury before

Surewin Best Bet: WHIP CRACKER
Surewin Danger: LAAFI

3.15 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV

17/22 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
17/22 – Won from draw 5 or lower
17/22 – Won over 6f previously
16/22 – Raced 3 or more times
16/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Foaled in March or later
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/22 – Won exactly two races before
8/22 – Won by an April foal
7/22 – Won their previous race
5/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/22 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/22 – Filly winners
7 of the last 9 winners from stalls 3 or lower

Surewin Best Bet: BRIAN
Surewin Danger: SHADOW OF LIGHT