Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 19th July 2025
This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.
At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Summer Plate Chase (3.12) and Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.
Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (2.57) tops the bill - a race 16 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 or younger.
While it's also Irish Oaks Day in Ireland at the Curragh - we've got the key trends for this Group One too as trainer Aidan O'Brien hunts his eighth win in the race.
Like all big race days, here at SUREWIN we've got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.
Newbury Horse Racing Trends
1.50 - BetVictor Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV
15/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/20 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/20 – Placed favourites
11/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/20 – Had run at the track before
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/20 – Winners from stall 1
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Surewin Best Bet: BOLSTER
Surewin Danger: ANCIENT WISDOM
2.25 – Back The Super Boost At BetVictor Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
Just 7 previous runnings
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
2/7 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/7 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 5)
2/7 – Winning favourites
Surewin Best Bet: KYLE OF LOCHALSH
Surewin Danger: WOLD WAVES
2.57 – Hallgarten and Novum Wines Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV
20/21 – Won over 6f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won 4 or more times before
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Had won a Group race before
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (4 of the last 10)
4/21 – Winners from stall 8
2/21 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 10)
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 5)
11 of the last 14 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 112 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Elite Status (5/2 fav) won the race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: JARRAAF
Surewin Danger: AIN'T NOBODY
3.30 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV
19/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Won 1-2 times before
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/21 – Irish bred winners
10/21 – Won by a filly
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
Surewin Best Bet: RAAKEB
Surewin Danger: HAVANNA HURRICANE
Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends
2.05 – Unibet Moneyback As Cash Races Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m4 1/2f ITV
Only 1 past running
Trainer Peter and Micky Bowen won this race in 2024
Trainer Mikey Bowen is 4-4 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 28% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 24% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Mike Sowersby is just 2-63 with his hurdlers at the track
Surewin Best Bet: BROUGHSHANE
Surewin Danger: MOSTLY SUNNY
2.40 – Unibet Same Race Multi Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
20/23 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/23 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/23 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/23 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 -Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 5)
15 of the last 18 winners carried 11-5 or less
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
10 of the last 19 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 10 winners aged 5-8
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
Castel Gandolfo (11/1) won the race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: CASTEL GANDOLFO
Surewin Danger: KIHAVAH
3.12 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV
22/23 – Had run within the last 3 months
21/23 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
19/23 – Aged 7 or older
17/23 – Had won 2 or more chases before
16/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or less
15/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/23 – Won their previous race
9/23 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/23 – Trained by the Bowen yard (8 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 14)
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/23 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (last 2)
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Sure Touch (14/1) won the race in 2024
Surewin Best Bet: COURTLAND
Surewin Danger: STATUARIO
Curragh Horse Racing Trends
3.40 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo) 1m4f RTV
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/22 – Won last time out
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Won over 1m4f before
10/22 – Irish-trained winners
10/22 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
10/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/22 – Had won a Group One before
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9)
6/22 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)
