It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

Did you know? 17 of the last 22 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

11/11 - Won at least twice before
11/11 - Rated between 88 and 96
10/11 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Won previously over 1m
9/11 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/11 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/11 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
7/11 - Placed favourites
6/11 - Irish bred
6/11 - Had run at Ayr before
4/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Winning favourites
Gweedore (12/1) won the race in 2022
Revich (20/1) won the race in 2021 and 3^rd in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: REVICH
SUREWIN DANGER: TITAN ROCK

1.50 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Yet to race at Ayr
11/12 – Won over 1m2f or more
11/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
10/12 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Irish bred
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
8/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 10)
3/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/12 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 8)
Royal Champion (9/4) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROYAL RHYME
SUREWIN DANGER: PRIDE OF AMERICA

2.25 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

20/20 – Carried 8-11 or more
18/20 – Previous winners over 6f
17/20 – Aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/20 – Carried 9-0 or more
15/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/20 – Had 5 or more runs that season
14/20 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
13/20 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
12/20 – Finished 5^th or better last time out
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
9/20 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/20 – Winning Favourites
0/20 – Filly or mare winners

SUREWIN BEST BET: CALL ME GINGER
SUREWIN DANGER:APLOMB

3.00 – Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/20 – Had never raced at Ayr before
17/20 – Finished 4^th or better last time out
16/20 – Previous winners over 6f
16/20 – Had won one or two times before
14/20 – Winning distance 1 length or further
14/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
14/20 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/20 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
12/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart

SUREWIN BEST BET: RAQIYA
SUREWIN DANGER:GREAT GENERATION

3.35 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

22/22 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
19/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
19/22 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
17/22 – Had won over 6f before
17/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Carried 9-1 or more
15/22 – Came from a double-figure stall
14/22 – Rated 90-101
13/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Had 7 or more runs that season
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/22 – Ran at Doncaster (3), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
11/22 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/22 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
2/22– Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 10)
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31

SUREWIN BEST BET: SIGNIFICANTLY
SUREWIN DANGER: ALBASHEER

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

20/21 – Raced four or more times that season
19/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
17/21 – Won a Listed or Group race before
17/21 – Won over 5f previously
16/21 - Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/21 – Won 4 or more times
13/21 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/21 – Previous Group race winners
7/21 – Won their last race
6/21 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 10 winners)
6/21 – Favourites
5/21 – Mare winners

SUREWIN BEST BET: SENSE OF DUTY 
SUREWIN DANGER: RAASEL

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 5 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 42% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 34% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 1 from 58 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Hector Crouch has a 24% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is just 1 from 41 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: LAAFI
SUREWIN DANGER: SALT BOY

2.40 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

12/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Won over 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
11/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Won 3 or 4 times
9/13 – Drawn 8 or lower
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Rated between 92 and 97 (inc)
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/13 – Had run at Newbury before

SUREWIN BEST BET: TOTNES
SUREWIN DANGER: LE MANS

3.15 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

16/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
16/21 – Won from draw 5 or lower
16/21 – Won over 6f previously
15/21 – Raced 3 or more times
15/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Foaled in March or later
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/21 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/21 – Won exactly two races before
7/21 – Won by an April foal
7/21 – Won their previous race
5/21 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/21 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 7)
2/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/21 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/21 – Filly winners

SUREWIN BEST BET: HAATEM
SUREWIN DANGER: ARRAY