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Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 22nd July 2023

Wednesday, July 19, 2023

This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Summer Plate Chase (3.15) and Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (3.00) tops the bill - a race 15 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Like all big race days, here at SUREWIN we've got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - bet365 Stakes (Reg as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

14/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
13/18 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/18 – Had run at the track before
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Had won a Group race before
6/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/18 – Winners from stall 1
3/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 13 runnings
Cadillac was second in the race in 2022

2.25 – Mettal UK Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just five previous runnings
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
4/5 – Returned 17/2 or shorter
3/5 – Aged 6 years-old
2/5 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/5 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 3)
1/5 – Winning favourites

3.00 - bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

18/19 – Won over 6f before
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Had won 4 or more times before
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Had won a Group race before
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winners from stall 8
3/19 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/19 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 8)
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
2/19 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 3)
9 of the last 12 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

17/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
15/19 – Won 1-2 times before
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/19 – Won by a Feb or March foal
10/19 – Irish bred winners
9/19 – Won by a filly
9/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m7f ITV

No previous runnings

2.40 – Unibet’s Zero Mission Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

18/21 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/21 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
15/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/21 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/21 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
14 of the last 16 winners carried 11-5 or less
11 of the last 17 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
9 of the last 17 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Castel Gandolfo was 2nd in the race in 2022

3.15 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

20/21 – Had run within the last 3 months
19/21 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
18/21 – Aged 7 or older
15/21 – Had won 2 or more chases before
15/21 – Had run at Market Rasen before
14/21 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/21 – Won their previous race
8/21 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/21 – Trained by Peter Bowen (8 wins in total)
4/21 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 12)
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/21 – Ridden by James Bowen (last 2 runnings)
Francky Du Berlais won the race in 2021 and 2022
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
12 of the last 15 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

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