We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.
Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 16 of the last 22 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.
Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 13 of the last 15 winners were all draw 6 or lower.
Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the grey handicap - a unique spectacle.
Here at SUREWIN we've got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.
20/21 – Didn’t win last time out
18/21 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
17/21 – Had won over 6f before
17/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Aged 5 or older
14/21 – Had 3 or more career wins
14/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/21 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
3/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 7)
4 of the last 6 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Strike won the race in 2022 and 6th in 2023
22/22 – Had won at least twice in their career
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/22 – Aged 3-5 years-old
17/22 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/22 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
14/22 – Officially rated 110 or higher
13/22 – Winning favourites
12/22 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
10/22 – Had already won a Group race
9/22 – Had won at Newbury before
Arrest (5/6 fav) won the race in 2023
One previous running
Desperate Hero (4/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1 from 26 with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Julie Camacho has an overall 29% strike-rate at the track
Trainer Darryll Holland has an overall 23% strike-rate at the track
12/13 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
12/13 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Had won over 7f or further before
9/13 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/13 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
8/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
7/13 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/13 - Irish bred
5/13 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/13 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
2/13 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 7)
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4)
2/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 6
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Spangled Mac (15/2) won the race in 2023
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022
20/22 – Didn’t win last time out
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Had won over this 7f trip before
18/22 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
16/22 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
12/22 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 9)
13 of the last 15 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
Witch Hunter won the race in 2023
Jumby won the race in 2022
One past running
Roundhay Park (11/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgely has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-45 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Callum Rodriguez has a 21% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
19/22 – Previous winners over 6f
16/22 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/22 – Didn’t win last time out
15/22– Winning distance of 1 length or less
14/22 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/22 - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/22 – Ran at either Goodwood (6) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/22 – Aged 4 years-old
6/22 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 11)
3/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 13)
3/22 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/22 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 11)
2/22 – Aged 3 years-old
Summerghand was runner-up in 2023
No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less