One of the highlights of the jump calendar this Saturday as we've day two of the Cheltenham November Meeting - four LIVE ITV races to take in from Prestbury Park that include the Paddy Power Gold Cup, while we've also two decent Listed races at Lingfield as the AW winter season starts to move up a few notches.

Did you know that 13 of the last 21 Paddy Power Gold Cup winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old?

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get  GOING!

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – From The Horse’s Mouth Podcast Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered As The November) (GBB Race) Cl2 2m ITV4

11/12 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 - Finished first or second last time out
11/12 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 - Favourites placed in the first three
11/12 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
9/12 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
8/12 - Won last time out
8/12 - Ran at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
5/12 - French bred
5/12 - Winning favourites
3/12 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Dan Skelton

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2.20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

20/21 – Had run at Cheltenham before
20/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
20/21 – Won by a UK-based trainer
17/21 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Carried 11st or less
15/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Had won at Cheltenham before
13/21 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/21 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
10/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/21 – Aged 7 years-old
8/21 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/21 – Won their last race
5/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/21 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/21 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 11 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 45 runners
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2.55 – Paddy Power Games Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV4

19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
18/21 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
17/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
16/21 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
15/21 – Irish bred
14/21  – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (3) last time out
14/21 – Officially rated 126 to 137
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/21 – Won their last race
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/21 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien (2 of last 5)
1/21 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
5 of the last 15 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3.30 – Paddy Power Feel Like A Favourite Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV4

16/18 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
9/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Irish-bred winners
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – French bred winners
3/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
4/18 - Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 14 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

2.36 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Rated between 102 and 112
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top two
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/17 – Placed last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 8)
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3.11 – BetUK Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

15/16 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged 4 or older
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
13/16 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 5 or more times before
10/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
Summerghand won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow