More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & the Group One Dewhurst Stakes, where we get to see some of the stars of the future.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at SUREWIN - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Space Blues Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

10/11 – Won over a least 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 – Listed or Group winner
9/11 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Favourites unplaced
4/11 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/11 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 3)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Highland Avenue (11/4 fav) won the race in 2023
7 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: LEAD ARTIST
SUREWIN DANGER: SKELLET

1:50 – Palace Pier Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Won no more than twice before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
11/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/17 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 10)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won the last 3 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 9

SUREWIN BEST BET: SHACKLETON
SUREWIN DANGER: STARSINTHEIREYES

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Had raced at least twice before
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Godolphin winners (7 of the last 8)
7/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 9)
5/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won the last four
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

SUREWIN BEST BET: SILVER PEAK
SUREWIN DANGER: DELACROIX

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/22 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
17/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Favourites placed
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won a Group race previously
15/22 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
12/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/22 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/22 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/22 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/22 – Trained by Jim Bolger
3/22 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 12 of the last 18 runnings
3 of the last 14 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 11 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
City Of Troy (8/15 fav) won the race in 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: THE LION IN WINTER
SUREWIN DANGER: SHADOW OF LIGHT

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

21/22 – Aged 4 or older
18/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
17/22 – Had run within the last 2 months
16/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
13/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/22 – Won by a NH trainer
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had run at the track before
9/22 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/22 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/22 – Winning mares
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6 winners)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/22 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 7 winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

SUREWIN BEST BET: MANXMAN
SUREWIN DANGER: SIXANDAHALF

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/21 – Foaled in March or later
15/21 – Had never raced at York before
15/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
8/21 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Filly winners
5/21 – Winners from stall 2
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/21 – Ridden by David Allan
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 14 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: INVICTUS GOLD
SUREWIN DANGER: SHADOW ARMY

2:05 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shacker’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/11 – Rated between 95-103
8/11 - Aged 3 years-old
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 (including last 2)
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

SUREWIN BEST BET: SISYPHEAN
SUREWIN DANGER: BENNETOT

2:40 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had won at least 3 races before
20/21 – Had won a race over 6f before
19/21 – Had run at York before
19/21 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/21 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 7 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/21 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners carried 9st or more
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 15 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red (12/1) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROOM SERVICE
SUREWIN DANGER: STRIKE RED

3:15 – Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Nursery Handicap (Cl2) (2yo) 1m ITV4

7/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/7 – Drawn 6 or lower
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 80-86
5/7 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Carried 9-4 or more
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Hector Crouch (last 2)
2/7 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 3 of the last 5 (inc last 2)

SUREWIN BEST BET: VALIANT KNIGHT
SUREWIN DANGER: SEAGOLAZO