Plenty going on again this Saturday with a stack of LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting with the Group One Darley July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:12 – Newmarket Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f

16/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
13/16 - Had won over at least 7f before
11/16 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
9/16 – Placed favourites
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/16 – Winning favourites
Asian Daze (9/1) won the race in 2024

Surewin Best Bet: MISS INFORMATION
Surewin Danger: NIGHTFALL 

2:50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

22/23 – Won over 7f previously
21/23 – Raced 3 or more times that season
17/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/23 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
11/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/23 – Placed in their last race
10/23 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/23 – Horses from a double-figure stall that finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd
4/23 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of the last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 16)
10 of the last 14 winners came from double-figure draws
15 of the last 17 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 17 winners carried between 9st and 9st 3lbs
Aalto (15/2) won the race in 2024
Biggles (5/1) won the race in 2023

Surewin Best Bet: MORE THUNDER 
Surewin Danger: AKKADIAN THUNDER 

3:25 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) (3yo) Cl2 1m ITV

21/23 – Had won over 7f or further previously
18/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
17/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/23 – Unplaced in their last race
10/23 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Winning Favourites
4/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (4 of the last 7)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 12 runnings

Surewin Best Bet: BEDOUIN PRINCE 
Surewin Danger: FIFTH COLUMN

4:00 - bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

22/23 – Won over at least 6f previously
21/23 – Placed in their last race
20/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
18/23 – Won their latest race
16/23 – Won by either a March or April foal
14/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
8/23 – Winning Favourites
5/25 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard (4 of the last 15)
4/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/23 – Winners from stall 3
4/23 - Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 7)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 12 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Mick Channon
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 5 of the last 9 runnings
Ancient Truth (4/6 fav) won this race in 2024

Surewin Best Bet: ITALY 
Surewin Danger: SABA DESERT

4:35 – Al Basti July Cup Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2024 Mill Stream (11/1)
2023 Shaquille (5/2 jfav)
2022 Alcohol Free (14/1)
2021 Starman (9/2)
2020 Oxted (12/1)
2019 Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018 U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017 Harry Angel (9/2)
2016 Limato (9/2 fav)
2015 Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014 Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013 Lethal Force (9/2)
2012 Mayson (20/1)
2011 Dream Ahead (7/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

22/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
18/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
18/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
18/23 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
14/23 – Placed last time out
11/23 – Ran last time out in either the King Charles III Stakes or QEII Jubilee Stakes
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 7 winners)
3/23 – Filly winners
2/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 7)
2/23 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/23 – French-trained winners
15 of the last 16 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 15/2
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019) – joint winning most trainer with Vincent O’Brien and Charles Morton

Surewin Best Bet: WHISTLEJACKET
Surewin Danger: NOTABLE SPEECH 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2:22 – Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Surewin Best Bet: NEVER SO BRAVE 
Surewin Danger: QUDDWAH

4:50 – Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1 

Surewin Best Bet: REDORANGE
Surewin Danger: STORMY IMPACT

York Horse Racing Trends

2:00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

13/13 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
12/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 - Won over at least 1m before
12/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/13 - Irish bred
8/13 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/13 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/13 - Placed favourites
5/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 7/1
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023 and 2024

Surewin Best Bet: BLUE FOR YOU 
Surewin Danger: OLD COCK 

2:35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
10/14 – Won at York before
9/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/14 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/14 – Won by a neck or less
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
Starlust (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

Surewin Best Bet: WASHINGTON HEIGHTS 
Surewin Danger: JM JUNGLE 

3:10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 11/1
Enfijaar (15/2) won the race in 2024

Surewin Best Bet: FOX LEGACY 
Surewin Danger: ANCIENT ROME 

3:45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/19 – Won from stall 10 or lower
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/19 – Winning favourites
Alsakib won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

Surewin Best Bet: TABLETALK
Surewin Danger: AL QAREEM