More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 11th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & the Group One Dewhurst Stakes, where we get to see some of the stars of the future.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at SUREWIN - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Too Darn Hot Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV

11/12 – Won over a least 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/12 – Winners from stalls 6 or higher
10/12 – Listed or Group winner
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 4)
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
Lead Artist (3/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 8 winners Juddmonte owned
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

1:50 – Night Of Thunder Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Won no more than twice before
16/18 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
4/18 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 11)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 10

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had raced at least twice before
17/20 – Won between 1-2 times before
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 9)
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 10)
5/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Irish-trained winners
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won this race ONCE (2024)
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won 4 of the last 5
Delacroix (15/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

23/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
20/23 – Placed in their last race
19/23 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
18/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over 7f previously
17/23 – Won their last race
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
15/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/23 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/23 – Favourites that won
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/23 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
8/23 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/23 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/23 – Trained by Jim Bolger
4/23 – Godolphin-owned winners (4 of the last 13)
3/23 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
3/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winners that came from stall 1
William Buick has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
The Irish have won 12 of the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 12 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
Shadow Of Light (Evs) won the race in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
18/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/22 – Foaled in March or later
16/22 – Had never raced at York before
15/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won over 6f before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Filly winners
5/22 – Winners from stall 2
4/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/22 – Ridden by David Allan
6 of the last 8 winners between stalls 5-9
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 15 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2:05 – Coral ‘Pipped At The Post’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/12 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Rated between 95-103
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 - Aged 3 years-old
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3 (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
4 of the last 9 from stalls 3 (2), 4 (2) or 8 (2)

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
22/22 – Had won at least 3 races before
21/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
20/22 – Had run at York before
20/22 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 8 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
The last 11 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 16 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red won the race in 2022 and 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow