This Saturday the ITV Racing cameras head to Doncaster and Kempton to take in EIGHT races across the two venues – with flat racing all the way.

As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and put history on your side.

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.15 – William Hill Bet £10 Get £10 EBF Brocklesby Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

15/17 – Won this on their debut runs
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/17 – Ridden by a claimer
4/17 – Trained by Bill Turner (6 in total: 1996, 2002, 2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
4/17 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
3/17 – Winners from stall 2
3/17 – Winners from stall 10
2/17 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 5)
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 7 runnings (4 wins in total)
Trainer Dylan Cunha won the race in 2024
6 of the last 7 winners between stalls 5-11 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

SUREWIN BEST BET: KAMAKAMELON
SUREWIN DANGER: THE BOREHAM BULLET

1:50 – William Hill Top Price Guaranteed Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/22 – Carried 8-13 or more
17/22 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 years-old
15/22 – Won over a mile before
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Won from a single-figure draw
4/22 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
3/22 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Roger Teal has won 2 of the last 6 (2023 and 2018)
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 22 years
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4
Look Back Smiling (17/2) won the race in 2024
Arthur’s Realm (11/2) won the race in 2022

SUREWIN BEST BET: LOOK BACK SMILING
SUREWIN DANGER: ARTHURS REALM

2:25 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/20 – Aged 7 or younger
18/20 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
18/20 – Had won no more than 5 times before
18/20 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
18/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had won over 6f before
13/20 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Rated 101+
11/20 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
12/20 – Had raced at Doncaster before
11/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
4/20 – Had won at Doncaster before
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites (or joint)
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 15 runnings
The last 7 winners between stalls 4-9
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 4 or 5 (2 each)
7 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
Marshman was a neck runner-up in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: JAMES'S DELIGHT 
SUREWIN DANGER: IBERIAN

3:00 – William Hill Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV4

11/11 – Last ran 4+ months ago
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Rated 106+
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/11 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Had won 6+ times before
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/11 – Trained by Roger Varian (4 of last 8)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 7)
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
4 of the last 9 winners from stall 2

SUREWIN BEST BET: BOTANICAL
SUREWIN DANGER: WITCH HUNTER

3.35 – William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

20/21 – Aged 6 or younger
19/21 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
17/21 – Had won between 2-4 times before
16/21 – Having their first run of the flat season
15/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
10/21 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/21 – Placed first or second last time out
9/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/21 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
5/21 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 10 runnings)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas (4 in total)
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/21 – Trained by John Quinn
2/21 - Trained by John Gosden
2/21 - Ridden by Benoit De La Sayette (2 of last 3)
2/21 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
1/21 - Irish-trained winners
10 of the last 14 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 38 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 14.5/1
Just two back-to-back winners in the past (Ob, 1906/07 & Babur 1957/58)

SUREWIN BEST BET: GODWINSON
SUREWIN DANGER: OLD COCK

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 Virgin Bet Queen's Prize Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

13/13 - Won no more than 5 times
12/13 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/13 - Had won over 1m6f or further
10/13 - Didn’t win last time out
10/13 - Had run at Kempton before
10/13 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 - Rated between 82-90
8/13 - Had won at Kempton in the past
7/13 - Only won between 1-3 times before
6/13 - Favourites that finished 2nd
2/13 - Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/13 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark
1/13 - Winning favourites
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1-5 (inc)

SUREWIN BEST BET: WHO'S GLEN
SUREWIN DANGER: JABBAR

2:40 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3f ITV

18/20 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
16/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/20 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/20 – Rated between 89 and 99
13/20 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/20 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Killybegs Warrior was 2nd in 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: TEUMESSIAS FOX
SUREWIN DANGER: KILLYBEGS WARRIOR

3:15 Virgin Bet Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV

18/20 – Had won between 2-4 times before
18/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
18/20 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/20 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/20 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
14/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/20 – Rated between 90-102
13/20 – Placed favourites
9/20 – Unplaced in their last race
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had run at Kempton before
6/20 – Rated 96 or lower
5/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/20 – Won last time out
7 of the last 16 favourites have won
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 3-5 (inc)
The last 11 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
Trainer Marco Botti has won 3 of the last 10
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 8
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: SOPRANO
SUREWIN DANGER: SHUWARI