This Saturday the ITV Racing action comes from Kelso, Newbury and Bangor – with jumping all the way.

There are EIGHT live ITV races spread out over the three venues – where you can the SUREWIN key trends and stats to help whittle down the runners.

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1:15– Ladbrokes ‘Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Had run at Kelso before
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: YOUR OWN STORY
SUREWIN DANGER: DARE TO SHOUT 

1:50 – Ladbrokes ‘Big-Value You Can Bet On’ Mares Hurdle (Listed Race) (Registered as the Beeswing) (GBB) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Henry Daly is 1-3 with is hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 19% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander is just 12 from 141 (9%) with their hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: WYENOT
SUREWIN DANGER: LAVIDA ADIVA 

2:25 – Ladbrokes Go North Cab On Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Sue Smith & Susan Corbett have won the race before
Both winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Both winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
Both winners aged between 6-8
No winning favourite
Les’s Legacy won the race in 2023
Romeo Brown won the race in 2022
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 2-5 (40%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jackie Stephens is just 2 from 40 with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer R Mike Smith is 0-24 with his hurdles at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sandy Forster is just 3 from 52 with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rebecca Menzies is just 7 from 73 with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Sam Coltherd is just 2-60 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Ross Chapman is just 3-56 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: NORDIC TIGER
SUREWIN DANGER: SAYVA

3:00 – Ladbrokes Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

2 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
Both winners favourites
Both winners aged between 5-6 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 2-5 (40%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: NORTHERN AIR
SUREWIN DANGER: BARRABOOL 

3:35 – Ladbrokes “Boost Your Bet Builder” Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (5yo+ 120) 2m1f ITV

7/7 – Had run at Kelso before
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/7 – Top 4 finish last time out
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Had won at Kelso before
4/7 – Ran at Kelso last time out
4/7 – Carried 11-5 or more
3/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Mania
2/7 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/7 – Winning favourites
Duty Calls won the race last year

SUREWIN BEST BET: BOLLINGERANDKRUG
SUREWIN DANGER: ESCAPEANDEVADE 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2:05 – BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

4 previous runs
4/4 – Aged between 4-6
3/4 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Won with exactly 11-11
2/4 – Carried between 10-9 and 10-10
1/4 – Winning favourite
Trainer SRB Crawford won the race in 2024
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Gary and Josh Moore have a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 3 from 47 with his hurdles at the track
Jockey Nico De Boinville has a 25% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Ben Jones is just 1 from 25 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: NORN IRON
SUREWIN DANGER: OLD COWBOY 

2:40 – BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 7 or older
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Favourites finished first or second
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/10 - Won no more than 3 times over fences
h7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/10 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
6/10 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2)
Heltenham won the race in 2024 and 2023

SUREWIN BEST BET: RISKINTHEGROUND
SUREWIN DANGER: SAINT SEGAL 

3:15 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

10/12 - Carried 11-3 or less in weight
10/12 - Won 1-2 times before
9/12 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/12 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/12 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/12 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/12 - Placed favourites
6/12 - Irish bred winners
6/12 - Aged 5 years-old
6/12 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/12 - Won last time out
4/12 - winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

SUREWIN BEST BET: SIOG GEAL
SUREWIN DANGER: CRAZIERTHANDAISY 

Bangor Horse Racing Trends

1:35 Alfa Aggregates Products Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Both winners aged 7
Both winners fav (or joint fav)
Both winners carried between 10-13 and 11-3
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2024
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Harry Fry is 2-4 (50%) with his hurdles at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden is just 1-from-1 (5%6) with his hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: THE FOUR SIXES
SUREWIN DANGER: MR FREEDOM