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Free Horse Racing Tips and Stats: Sat 15th March 2025

Monday, March 10, 2025

So, that’s Cheltenham over, but this Saturday there is still plenty of racing action as the ITV cameras head to Uttoxeter for the Midlands National, plus they are also at Kempton for a jumps fixture.

As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got all the trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

1:50 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4

Only 2 past runnings
Dan Skelton and Peter Bowen have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 11-9 and 11-10
Both winners aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 24% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dr Richard Newland has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 20% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley is just 3 from 49 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 47 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2:25 – Jenningsbet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
Dan Skelton and Kim Bailey have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 10-6 and 10-11
Both winners aged between 6-7
Trainer Anthony Honeyball has a 24% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 20% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle is just 2 from 34 with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 20% return riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 47 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey David Noonan is just 3 from 53 riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:00 – Jenningsbet Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV4

19/21 – Aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
18/21 – Carried 10-12 or less
18/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
16/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/21 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
14/21 – Carried 10-10 or less
14/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Officially rated 135 or less
12/21 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
12/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by David Pipe
3/21 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
11 of the last 14 winners aged 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
5 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:35 – Jenningsbet Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

18/21 – Aged 8 or younger
17/21 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/21 – Returned 7/1 or less
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/21 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/21 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
12/21 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
12/21 – Placed last time out
11/21 – Aged 7 years-old
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by Harry Fry (4 of last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Winning favourites

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2:10 - Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 2m2f ITV4

2 previous runnings
Trainers Nicky Henderson and L J Morgon have won the race before
No winning favourite
Both winners carried between 11-6 and 11-8
Both winners 5/1 or shorter
Both winners aged between 6-8
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 43% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Fergal O'Brien has a 21% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 31 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Jonathan Burke has a 21% strike-rate riding over fences at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

2:45Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV4

1 past running
Dan Skelton's Boombawn won the race in 2024
Trainer Philip Hobbs and Johnson White have a 40% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 38% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Fry has a 30% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Derham has a 25% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1 from 20 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1 from 20 with his hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

3:20Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV4

4 previous runnings
All 4 winners aged 7 (1) or 8 (3)
All 4 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Paul Nicholl has trained the last 2 winners
Harry Cobden has ridden the last 2 winners
3 of the last 4 winners aged 8
All 4 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Trainer BenPauling has a 24% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones is 4-8 (50%) riding over fences at the track

 

SUREWIN BEST BET: To Follow
SUREWIN DANGER: To Follow

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