It's the calm before the storm this coming Saturday with the Cheltenham Festival looming on the horizon. However, still plenty to get stuck into with the ITV cameras to take in four races at Sandown Park that include the competitive Imperial Cup.

We've also two LIVE ITV races on the AW to take in from Wolverhampton, including the Lincoln Handicap Trial - yes, all the racing talk might be about Cheltenham at the moment, but the start of the flat turf season is also not far away!

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN we've all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get GOING!

=================================================

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Betfair "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4fy ITV4

20/20 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
19/20 – Carried 10-11 or more
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Rated 129 or less
16/20 – Unplaced favourites
15/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/20 – Returned 9/1 or less in the betting
13/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Aged 6 years-old
11/20 – Had won over this trip before
7/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/20 – Won by the Fergal O’Brien yard (2 of the last 8)
2/20 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/20 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/20 – Winning favourites
1/20 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3^rd Martin Pipe)
The last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: FIRE FLYER
SUREWIN DANGER: ASTA LA PASTA

2.25 – Betfair Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

19/20 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
19/20 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
18/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Rated 124 or higher
16/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/20 – Aged 6 or younger
13/20 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
12/20 – Carried 10-7 or less
12/20 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
12/20 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
11/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/20 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
7/20 – French bred
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 7)
2/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: JIPCOT
SUREWIN DANGER: SANS BRUIT

3.00 – British Stallion Studs EBF Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

18/19 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
18/19 – 1^ST or 2^ND last time out
17/19 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19– Won last time out
13/19 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
11/19 – Aged 5 years-old
11/19 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
1/19 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Luccia won the race last year

SUREWIN BEST BET: SUNSET MARQUESA
SUREWIN DANGER: CRAZIERTHANDAISY

3.35 – Betfair Serial Winners Fund Novices’ Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Top 4 finish last time out
6/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/6 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
5/6 – Aged 5 or 6 year-old
5/6 – French bred
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Carried 11st or less
2/6 – Favourites placed
2/6 – Won with 11st 8lbs or more
0/6 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Tizzard, Venetia Williams, Ben Pauling, Nick Williams and Gary Moore (2) are the past winners of this race
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 20% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sarah Humphrey is 3-from-3 with her chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: KOTMASK
SUREWIN DANGER: SCARFACE

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends (SkySportsRacing/ITV)

2.40 – BetMGM Lady Wulfruna Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV4

14/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Rated 104 or higher
11/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/17 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/17 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
6/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/17 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
6/17 – Winning favourite
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 6)
2/17 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 4)
Tinker Toy won the race in 2022
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

SUREWIN BEST BET: SHOULDVEBEENARING
SUREWIN DANGER: NINE TENTHS

3.15 – BetMGM Sports Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV4

19/21 – Aged 6 or younger
19/21 – Won over a mile (or further) before
17/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21– Won at least three times before
11/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/21 – Came from stall 8 or higher
10/21 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/21 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
7/21 – Aged 5 years-old
8/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2) or David Probert (2)
2/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the last 5 winners were trained by Andrew Balding
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: KINGS CODE
SUREWIN DANGER: FINAL VOYAGE