It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

Here at SUREWIN we've got the LIVE ITV races - including the Epsom Derby - covered with key trends to help find the best profiles or previous winners, plus our quickfire tips for all this Saturday's races.

EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:00 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Oddschecker) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

22/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
17/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (5 of the last 6)
13/22 – Had won between 4-6 times before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Winning favourites
10/22 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/22 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/22 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/22 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/22 – Trained by the Charlton yard
Jockeys Tom Marquand (2) & James Doyle (3) have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 15 runnings
The last 12 winners were drawn 8 or lower (8 of the last 12 drawn 5 or lower)

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

1:35 – Betfred Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (Class 3) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

20/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Aged 5 or older
12/21 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by the Crisford stable
The last 10 winners drawn 6 or lower
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 1,2 or 3

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

2:10 - Betfred 3YO “Dash” Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Gemma Tutty & Michael Dods have won the race before
Both winners returned 8/1 (no winning fav)
Both winners carried between 9-2 and 9-7
Both winners drawn high (13) and (20)
2:45 – Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
20/22– Didn’t win last time out
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (14 within the last 4 weeks)
18/22– Unplaced favourites
17/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
16/22 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
16/22 – Came from stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
6/22 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 6 winners carried 8-13 or less (5 of last 6 carried 8-7 or less)
Dream Composer won the race in 2024
Tees Spirit won the race in 2022

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

3:30 – Betfred Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 only Oath (1999), Adayar (2021) and City Of Troy (2024) has won from stall 1
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Aidan O’Brien (10 wins) won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

4:15 – Long Shot Northern Dancer Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f RTV

11/11 - Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-3 or less
7/11 – Drawn between 9-16 (inc)
3/11 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 10)
2/11 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
2/11 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 4)

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

5:00 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Lester Piggott Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y RTV

22/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
20/22 – Had won over 1m+ before (6 over 1m2f)
18/22 – Never run at Epsom before
15/22 – Winners from stall 5 or higher (but 5 of last 7 drawn 5 or lower)
14/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/22 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/22 – Favourites placed
9/22 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/22 – Won their previous race
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 7)
Stall 2 has just 3 places (1 win) to its name in the last 22 runnings

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow

5:40 - JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6f RTV

10/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 or higher
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 4 and 10
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 (2) or 10 (2)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Jason Hart (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 6)
Badri won the race in 2023

SUREWIN Best Bet: To Follow
SUREWIN Danger: To Follow