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Epsom TV Trends & Tips (Fri 3rd June 22)

Tuesday, May 31, 2022

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (3rd June 2022). The Cazoo Oaks is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup.

Like all big race days here at SUREWIN we are on-hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

Epsom Horse Racing Trends

Friday 3rd June 2022

 

2.00 – CAZOO WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

19/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
18/19 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/19 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
15/19 – Had 2 or more previous runs
15/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/19 – Yet to win over 6f
10/19 – Won their previous race
9/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
10 of the last 13 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (7)

SUREWIN BEST BET: KEEP BIDDING
SUREWIN DANGER: BLATANT

2.35 – WORLD POOL HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y

15/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
12/18 – Placed last time out
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Carried 9-1 or more
8/18 – Raced at the track before
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
9 of the last 13 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
Corazon Espinado (12/1) won the race in 2021

SUREWIN BEST BET: FANTASTIC FOX
SUREWIN DANGER: REVICH

3.10 – DAHLBURY CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
19/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
17/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/20 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (5 won)
8/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/20 – Won their last race
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Had run at Epsom before
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Pyledriver (8/1) won the race in 2021
Note: The 2020 renewal was run at Newmarket

SUREWIN BEST BET: MANOBO
SUREWIN DANGER: HUKUM

3.45 – CAZOO Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 – Came from stall 9 or lower
13/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/18 – Rated between 86-98
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Irish bred
11/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/18 – Had raced at the track before
6/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
Victory Chime was second in the 2021 race

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROYAL CHAMPION
SUREWIN DANGER: MOKTASAAB

 

4.30 – CAZOO Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
17/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
13/20 – Won from stall 5 or higher
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/20 – Irish-trained winners
6/20 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/20 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/20 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 15 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 8 runnings.
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 20 runnings

SUREWIN BEST BET: EMILY UPJOHN
SUREWIN DANGER: WITH THE MOONLIGHT

 

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