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Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Thurs 8th Sept 2022

Thursday, September 8, 2022

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at SUREWIN we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

 

Thursday 8th September 2022

1:25 - British Stallion Studs "Carrie Red" EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

19/19 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
17/19 – Carried 9-3 or less
16/19 – Rated 74 or higher
15/19 – Placed third or better last time out
15/19 – Had won at least one race before
13/19 – Won by a Feb or Mar-born foal
13/19 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
12/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/19 – Won by the Hannon team
2/19 – Won by the Richard Fahey team
2/19 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/19 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 5)

SUREWIN BEST BET:  COCO JAMBOO (e/w)
SUREWIN DANGER:  BONNY ANGEL

2.00 - Weatherbys Scientific £200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

17/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/18 – Yet to win over 6 ½ or 7f
13/18 – Won between 1-2 times
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
9/18 – Foaled in Jan or Feb
9/18 – Raced at York last time out
9/18 – Placed favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (including 2 or the last 8 runnings)
2/18 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/18 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/18 – Won by a filly
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 3)
2/18 - Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 5)
2/18– Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 9)
2/18 – Placed horses from stall 1
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
12 of the last 15 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight

SUREWIN BEST BET:  COLD CASE
SUREWIN DANGER:  HOLGUIN (e/w)

2.35Cazoo May Hill Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV3

19/20 – Had 1 or 2 previous career wins
18/20 – Had won over 7f+ before
18/20 – Won by a Feb, Mar or April foal
16/20 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/20 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
7/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
2/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
12 of the last 16 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2018)

SUREWIN BEST BET:  DANCE IN THE GRASS
SUREWIN DANGER:  NOVAKAI

3.10 – Coral Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV3

17/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Won no more than 4 times before
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Previous Group winners
10/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
9/19 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
8/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won the Lilly Langtry (Goodwood) that season
5/19 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race

SUREWIN BEST BET:  ESHAADA
SUREWIN DANGER:  RIVER OF STARS

3.45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV3

10/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won over 6f or 7f
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn 7 or less
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times
9/11 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/11 – Rated 86-92
8/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Won over 7f before
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Drawn 3 or less
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan

SUREWIN BEST BET:  ZAINALARAB
SUREWIN DANGER:  ADMIRAL D

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