Chester TV Tips and Stats: Weds 4th May 2022
A decent midweek in prospect with the three-day Chester May Meeting running from Wednesday-Friday (4th-6th May 2022).
We get going on day one with FIVE LIVE ITV races that include the plus the Cheshire Oaks and Chester Vase.
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!
CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1.30 – Icm Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4
19/19 – Had a recent run that season
18/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 - Had won over 5f before
15/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
13/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
11/19 – Came from stalls 1-3
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 - Came from stall 1 (but just 1 in the last 14 years)
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston (3 of the last 7 years)
2/19 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 4 of the last 14 runnings
SUREWIN VERDICT: OCEAN CLOUD
SUREWIN DANGER: STAR OF LADY M
2.05 - tote.co.uk Free Chester Placepot Every Day Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4
19/19 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
18/19 - Had won before over this trip
15/19 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
14/19 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/19 - Had run before that season
11/19 - Favourites that finished in the top three
7/19 - Returned a double-figure price
7/19 - Had won before at Chester
4/19 – Won their last race
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 - Trained by Tim Easterby
The last 13 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
SUREWIN VERDICT: LIVE THE DREAM
SUREWIN DANGER: NAVELLO
2.40 – Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Cheshire Oaks (for the Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4
17/19 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
16/19 – Had a previous run that season
16/19 - Favourites that finished in the top three
13/19 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
11/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Winners from stall 4
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
None of the last 19 winners had run at Chester before
SUREWIN VERDICT: HELLO JUMEIRAH
SUREWIN DANGER: NIGHT BOTTLE
3.10 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4
18/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished third or better last time out
16/19 – Had a previous run that season
14/19 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
13/19 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
10/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/19 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
9/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 of last 8 winners)
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 8 winners)
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Just one winner in the last 19 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)
SUREWIN VERDICT: NEW LONDON
SUREWIN DANGER: CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD
3.40 – Deepbridge Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
6/10 – Rated between 78-80
6/10 – Had won over 6f before
5/10 – Had run at the track before
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
SUREWIN VERDICT: EVER GIVEN
SUREWIN DANGER: BUCKSHAW VILLAGE
