It's DAY TWO of the Chester May Meeting this Thursday (5th May 2021) so we've more LIVE ITV racing to take in. The Dee Stakes and the Group Three Ormonde Stakes take centre stage today - did you know 18 of the last 19 Ormonde Stakes winners returned 7/2 or shorter? Suggesting this is a race punters tend to get right!

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 – ICM Stellar Sports Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

13/13 – Won from stall 7 or lower
13/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from stall 5 or lower
11/13 – Had won between 2-6 times before
10/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
8/13 – Had raced at Chester before
7/13 – Officially rated between 87-90
6/13 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Winners from stall 1
11 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 1-4

SUREWIN VERDICT: NIGHT ON EARTH
SUREWIN DANGER: SUNDAY SOVEREIGN

 2.05 – Deepbridge Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

17/19 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
17/19 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had a previous run that season
15/19 – Came between stalls 2-7
12/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/19 – Finished third or better last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites (or joint)
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/19 – Winners from stall 1

SUREWIN VERDICT: OUTSIDE WORLD
SUREWIN DANGER: KOY KOY

2.40 - Homeserve Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

18/19 – Had not run at Chester before
17/19 – Yet to win over this trip before
16/19 – Came from stall 3 or higher
15/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Favourites finished in the frame
12/19 – Failed to win another race after taking this
10/19 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
10/19 – Had a previous run that season
9/19 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
8/19 – Won by the favourite
8/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/19 – Won their previous race
0/19 – Winners from stall 1
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 18 years

SUREWIN VERDICT: STAR OF INDIA
SUREWIN DANGER: DUBAI POET

3.10 - tote.co.uk Proud To Support Chester Racecourse Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

18/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/19 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
13/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/19 – Had a previous run that season
11/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/19 – Won by the favourite
9/19 – Had run before at Chester
5/19 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
5/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)

SUREWIN VERDICT: ALBAFLORA
SUREWIN DANGER: BELIEVE IN LOVE

3.40 – Boodles Raindance Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f ITV4

9/10 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won at the track before
8/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
8/10 – Won over at least 1m2f
8/10 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
8/10 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
7/10 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
7/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
7/10 – Won 4+ times in the past
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winners from stall 8
1/10 – Winning favourites
0/10 – Winners from stall 1

SUREWIN VERDICT: ENFRANCHISE
SUREWIN DANGER: FAIRMAC