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Cheltenham TV Trends and Tip (Fri 9th Dec 22)

Friday, December 9, 2022

Plenty to look forward to this week as the tapes go up for the opening day of the 2022 Cheltenham December Meeting on Friday (9th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on SUREWIN with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV4)

1:50 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Six previous runs
6/6 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/6 - Between 0-1 chase wins before
6/6 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/6 - Irish bred
4/6 - Yet to race at Cheltenham
4/6 - Unplaced favourites
4/6 - winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
2/6 – Winning favourites
Madera Mist won the race in 2020

SUREWIN BEST BET: ELECTRIC ANNIE
SUREWIN DANGER: HAWTHORN COTTAGE

 

2.25 – Racing TV Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

17/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/20 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
16/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
14/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Aged 8 or younger
11/20 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
11/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
11/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Placed favourites
9/20 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of last 6 runnings)
Commodore (7/1) won this race in 2021

SUREWIN BEST BET: EVA'S OSKAR
SUREWIN DANGER: SWITCH HITTER

3.00 – Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4 - ABANDONNED

17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
15/18 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/18 – Aged 9 or older
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Aged in double-figures
8/18 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
8/18 – French bred
7/18 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Carried 11-12
Diesel D’Allier (6/1) won this race in 2021
Easysland (5/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

16/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
15/19 – Carried 11-2 or less
15/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Irish bred
14/19 – Aged 7 or younger
14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Rated between 127 and 137
10/18 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/19 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
9/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill

SUREWIN BEST BET: DUSART
SUREWIN DANGER: ANNUAL INVICTUS

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